Cavanal Hill World Energy Fund Quarterly Commentary

1Q 2024

Market Overview

Oil prices, as measured by Brent crude, rose about 10% during the quarter as continued production restraint among the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Plus (OPEC+) members, coupled with lower global inventories, boosted prices.

While global oil demand, particularly from China, has slightly lagged our expectation, supply disruptions in Russia as a result of the Russia-Ukraine war, risk tipping balances into an undersupplied position. Inventories remain below normal, global economies appear reasonably healthy, and demand is likely to accelerate into the summer, which would provide a favorable backdrop to crude oil prices. We foresee global oil markets remaining nearly in balance for much of 2024, with a potential for shortfalls in the second half of the year. The risk remains to the upside, in our view, based on supply uncertainty from Russia and the Middle East.

Natural gas markets continued to fall during the first quarter, with the U.S. Henry Hub next-month futures contract down 34% for the quarter.  The market remains well supplied as winter was historically mild and a major U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility faced operational issues resulting in lower-than-expected gas exports. For the short term,  we expect U.S. consumers will benefit from low natural gas prices. However, that could change in the coming years, with an anticipated demand surge in 2025-2028 as new LNG facilities are built and commissioned.

Positioning the Fund

Portfolio composition is subject to change

We remain heavily invested in fossil fuels as we believe the global economy should continue to grow in 2024. We continue to see the greatest opportunity in both exploration and production and service companies that are focused on offshore assets. We believe North American services have excess equipment, but we see the international equipment markets as tighter. Accordingly, we favor international services over domestic ones as we believe they have more pricing power.

Finally, the demand for power and electricity is poised to dramatically accelerate as corporations invest heavily in artificial intelligence - a heavy user of electricity. Regarding clean energy for electricity, in our view, the most attractive opportunities are found in nuclear energy. We own shares in uranium production companies and in a company that manufactures nuclear reactors for small applications. We remain uninvested in solar, wind, and hydrogen, although we continue to look for opportunities in those areas.

Why should investors consider investing in this fund?

Access to cheap energy remains the lifeblood of economic development. Emerging markets continue to seek the most economical sources of energy so as to improve their standard of living. In addition, developed nations are now trying to supply energy to their consumers while investing in technologies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

We expect oil demand to remain above supply as the Oil Producing Exporting Countries Plus (OPEC+) continues to manage available oil supply to keep the market tight in the face of uncertain demand. Over time, we believe U.S. natural gas presents a growing global opportunity. Higher oil and natural gas prices are likely to lead consumers and countries to invest further in alternative energy sources. We believe this trend benefits our fund, as we invest in both fossil fuel and alternative technologies.

Disclosures

An investor should consider a fund’s investment objectives, risks and charges and expenses carefully before investing or sending money This and other important information about an investment company can be found in the fund’s prospectus. To obtain a Cavanal Hill Funds prospectus or summary prospectus, please call 800-762-7085 or visit us at www.cavanalhillfunds.com. Please read it carefully before investing.

Cavanal Hill Investment Management, Inc. is an SEC registered investment adviser and a wholly-owned subsidiary of BOK Financial Corporation, a financial holding company (“BOKF”). BOKF, NA serves as the custodian for the Cavanal Hill Funds. Cavanal Hill Investment Management, Inc. provides investment advice, administration and other services for the Funds and receives a fee for providing such services as fully described in the prospectus. The Funds are distributed by Cavanal Hill Distributors, Inc. a registered Broker/Dealer, member FINRA and wholly-owned subsidiary of BOKF.

Commentary provided is for the indicated period and is designed to provide a frame of reference. It does not constitute investment advice. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. The opinions expressed herein reflect the judgment of the authors at this date and are subject to change without notice and are not a complete analysis of any sector, industry or security. This document contains forward-looking statements that are based on management’s beliefs, assumptions, current expectations, estimates and projections about the Cavanal Hill Funds, the securities and credit markets and the economy in general. Words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “expects,” “forecasts,” “plans,” “projects,” variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. Management judgments relating to and discussion of the value and potential future value or performance of any security, group of securities, type of security or market segment involve judgments as to expected events are inherently forward-looking statements. Management judgments relating to and discussion of the value and potential future value or performance of any security, group of securities, type of security, or market segment involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict with regard to timing, extent, likelihood and degree of occurrence. Therefore, actual results and outcomes may materially differ from what is expressed, implied, or forecasted in such forward-looking statements. The potential realization of these forward-looking statements is subject to a number of limitations and risks, which are described in the Fund’s prospectuses, and investors or potential investors, are cautioned to review the Funds’ prospectuses and the description of such risks. Neither the Funds nor the Funds’ investment adviser, Cavanal Hill, undertake any obligation to update, amend, or clarify forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Investment Risks

Equity securities (stocks) are more volatile and carry more risk than other forms of investments, including investments in below investment-grade fixed income securities. Fixed income securities are subject to interest rate risks. The principal value of a bond falls when interest rates rise and rise when interest rates fall. The Fund invests in foreign and emerging market securities, which involves certain risks such as currency volatility, political and social instability, and reduced market liquidity. Mid- and small-cap companies may be more vulnerable to adverse business or economic developments. During periods of rising interest rates, the value of a bond investment is at greater risk than during periods of stable or falling rates. International investing involves increased risk and volatility. The Fund’s concentration in energy-related industry securities may present more risks than would be the case with funds that diversify investments in numerous industries and sectors of the economy. A downturn in the energy sectors would have a larger impact on the Fund than on a fund that does not concentrate in these industries. Energy sector securities can be significantly affected by events related to political developments, energy conservation, commodity prices, and tax and government regulations. The performance of securities in the Fund may, at times, lag the performance of companies in other sectors or the broader market as a whole. Emerging market investing may be subject to additional economic, political, liquidity, and currency risks not associated with more developed countries. The Fund may engage in active and frequent trading. Diversification does not assure a profit nor protect against loss.

The Morningstar Rating for funds or “star rating”, is calculated for managed products (including mutual funds, variable annuity and variable life subaccounts, exchange-traded funds, closed-ended funds, and separate accounts) with at least a three-year history. Exchange-traded funds and open-ended mutual funds are considered a single population for comparative purposes. it is calculated based on a Morningstar Risk-Adjusted Return measure that accounts for variation in a management product’s monthly excess performance, placing more emphasis on downward variations and rewarding consistent performance. The top 10% of products in each product category receive 5 stars, the next 22.5% receive 4 stars, the next 35% receive 3 stars, the next 22.5% receive 2 stars, and the bottom 10% receive 1 star.

The Overall Morningstar Rating for a managed product is derived from a weighted average of the performance figures associated with its three-, five-, and 10-year (if applicable) Morningstar Rating metrics. The weights are: 100% three-year rating for 36-59 months of total returns, 60% five-year rating/50% three-year rating for 60-119 months of total returns, and 50% 10-year rating/30% five-year rating/20% three-year rating for 120 or more months of total returns. While the 10-year overall star rating formula seems to give the most weight to the 10-year period, the most recent three-year period actually has the greatest impact because it is included in all three rating periods.

Cavanal Hill World Energy Fund was rated against the following numbers of equity energy funds over the following time periods: 2 stars against 69 funds in the last three years, and 5 star against 68 funds in the last five years.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

©2023 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete, or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.

If you’d like additional information about this or any of the Cavanal Hill Funds, please contact Craig McQueen at 303.355.2799, CraigMcQueen@cavanalhill.com, or cavanalhillfunds.com.

Not FDIC Insured | May Lose Value | No Bank Guarantee

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